A listing of the most recent articles on Dallasfed.org related to the selected topic.
How Much Slack Is Left in the Labor Market?
Our analysis shows that viewing the level of employment through the lens of the employment-to-population ratio does not indicate considerable slack in the labor market.
July 06, 2021
For Many, Work-from-Home Arrangements Likely to Outlast Pandemic
Many workers say they expect to work from home after the pandemic ends. Although commuting remained below prepandemic levels at year-end 2020, it is likely to increase in the near term as labor market conditions improve and home arrangements become more part time.
March 30, 2021
Working from Home During a Pandemic: It’s Not for Everyone
Because working remotely can offset the negative effects of shelter-in-place and social distancing policies on employment and earnings, knowing how many workers can do so is crucial to understanding the impact of such measures on our workforce.
April 07, 2020
What’s Up (or Not Up) with Wages?
This is the third of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.
November 12, 2019
Labor Market Slack Disappeared by 2016
This is the second of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.
October 15, 2019
A Natural Approach to Estimating the ‘Natural Rate’ of Unemployment
The unemployment rate is a widely viewed gauge of U.S. labor market slack or tightness. Because of structural changes to the labor market over time, assessments about slack/tightness require a reference point called the “natural rate of unemployment.”
October 08, 2019
Room to Grow? Inflation and Labor Market Slack
Compared with the usual ex-food-and-energy measure, the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate sends a clearer, more reliable signal about whether cyclical inflation pressures are building.
May 30, 2019
Online Retailing, Self-Employment Disrupt Inflation
The employment status of increasing numbers of workers has become contingent in recent years—that is, there is greater freelance, or “gig,” employment. This development has coincided over the past two decades with an era of increasing online commerce that provides consumers a wider array of products and services at competitive prices.
April 16, 2019
How Much Do Movers Move Average Wage Growth?
Data from the Current Population Survey, a household survey used to compute the unemployment rate, do not include individuals who change residences. If it could include movers, our previous estimate of 2018 average individual wage growth would increase from 5.0 percent to 5.5 percent or higher.
March 26, 2019
Is Wage Growth Higher than We Think?
There is always widespread interest in the degree to which the U.S. labor market generates higher pay for workers. A standard measure of wage growth suggests that this expansion is not improving the standard of living of workers, but our analysis reveals that actual wage growth is understated.
February 26, 2019